So, my last rant was on the topic of Policing In America.
(TLDR: We need to take a calm and reasoned look at the facts, identify the underlying problem, and address that. Spewing hate and creating even broader divides between law enforcement and communities of color will not achieve a positive result. Sensationalist journalism only feeds corporate engines that make money off the click-bait and sets us against one another)
I thought about that a bit and realized that if I want people to look at the facts, I should provide some. When I started looking for them, I found a ton of interesting stuff. I decided to look at two major threats to our well-being (at least, they are high on our conversation list and frequently in the headlines).:
– Racially motivated police execution of citizens
– Islamic Terrorists attacking the U. S.
My research led me to the following conclusion:
The internet is bad for us, and is fragmenting and distracting us from the things we really need to pay attention to.
Information is easy to get to. Reliable information is a little tougher, since legitimate and illegitimate sources can be tougher to discern on the web. So we mostly don’t bother. We see what is in our Facebook feed or our one preferred “news” site and we don’t question. Since much of that is designed to inflame us, we get worked up over the issue of the day, and add a little hate to the fire.
The question it prompted for me was this: Are we focused on the things that need our attention? Or just on the Internet’s version of Bread and Circuses, things that keep us entertained and frothed up while the Empire does its thing. When I went looking, here’s what I found:
Policing: The Numbers:
750,340 Sworn law enforcement officers in the U. S. (Bureau of Justice Statistics, 2008 [latest year available])
17,398 Law enforcement agencies in the U. S. (BJS again)
1128 people killed by police in 2015 (2016 numbers are similar to date.)
Race | # Killed [The Guardian] |
% of those killed [2015] | % of U. S. Population [US Census Bureau 2015] |
% of U. S. Homeless Population [Natl Coalition for the Homeless] |
% of homicide victims [FBI 2014] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Native | 13 | 1% | 1.2% | 8% | — |
Asian/Pacific Islander | 24 | 2% | 6.0% | Not Reported | — |
Other/Unknown | 26 | 2% | — | — | — |
Hispanic/Latino | 195 | 17% | 17.6% | 11% | 13% |
Black | 306 | 27% | 13.0% | 40% | 45% |
White | 564 | 50% | 77.0% | 41% | 42% |
I then made a few assumptions (some reasonable, some dire; in all, I think this represents something close to the worst case scenario):
- Every one of these is a separate incident (there is no case where more than one person is killed)
- Every “other/unknown” is a non-white person (that makes the numbers exactly 50-50: 564 white deaths, 564 non-white deaths)
- Every death of a person of color was unjustified (not a single incident involved someone who actually posed a threat to the LEO or the public)
- Every death of a person of color was a result of racism
- Every department in which one of these incidents occurred suffers from a culture of racism (the actions were not rogue officers or anomalies in any way)
- Every one of these incidents occurred at a different department.
- 10 sworn officers were involved in perpetrating or covering up every single one of these unjustified deaths (the actual shooter, 1 or 2 other officers at the scene, 1 or 2 command officers who protect the department, and as many as 5 investigators who manipulate evidence to ‘make it look good.’)
With those assumptions, here’s what the numbers looked like:
564 of 17,398 agencies are culturally racist abusers of law enforcement power. (That’s 3%, which means 97% are not)
5,640 officers were involved in conducting or covering up these activities. (5,640 of 750,340, or ¾ of 1% of the law enforcement officers in the country.)
So, in the worst interpretation I can put on this data, 99.25% of American law enforcement officers and 97% of departments are not involved in racist execution of people of color.
Does institutional racism exist in America? Absolutely. Could we examine a lot of our government structures, including law enforcement, to bring awareness, and update our practices to meet our 21st-century human standards? Certainly. We could start with our approach to affordable housing. Black Americans are 13% of the population, and 40% of the homeless. Natives, 1% of the population and 8% of the homeless. Since mental health is a significant factor in homelessness (20-25%), perhaps we could address our mental health care.
Do we need to address inequities, and appropriate use of authority, especially by our police? Yes. Is that even one of the major impacts of institutional racism on Black Americans, much less the worst? Not even close. And you may have noticed that people of color make up a similar percentage of homicide victims – in fact, the distribution is almost identical among general homicides as among law enforcement deaths. Except nearly 30 times as many died from homicide (about 2/3 of those homicides were by firearm).
Those of you taking a breath to talk about ‘black-on-black crime’ – take a break. I don’t give a rat’s patoot what color the shooter was. I care that blacks make up 13% of the population and 45% of the gun deaths. I care that this is the same percentage whether it’s cops or criminals shooting. Which means there is a problem with the way that black Americans are exposed to the risk of violence. So quit yelling at the cops AND the protesters. Spend your time finding the reason for that inordinate risk. FIX IT.
Terrorists: The Numbers
In 2001, 2,982 Americans died as a result of terrorism in the United States. That’s as many as died in the United Kingdom between 1970 and 2007 (mostly because of the IRA). In that same 37-year period, 3,292 Americans died – so all but 1,000 of them were basically September 11. With 9/11 removed, it’s an average of about 27/year. Let’s assume (not necessarily correctly) that this has ramped up in recent years, and that in that 37-year period, 2/3 of the deaths happened after 2001. 6 years, 666 deaths. That would be 111/year.
In 2014 15,809 Americans died as a result of homicide. 10,945 of those were committed with firearms. So you are – seriously! – just about 100 times more likely to be shot by an American criminal than a terrorist (Islamist or otherwise). [98-1/2 times more likely, to be precise]
Something to think about
In 2014, 2,626,418 people died in the United States.
614,348 from heart disease
591,699 from various forms of cancer (note that this number is artificial. “Cancer” is a catchall term for numerous illnesses resulting from varying sources including viruses, inappropriate immune responses, and external agents. So technically, cancer isn’t even ‘a thing’ and deaths by cancer should be reported either by the specific cancer, or at least the cancers should be broken out by what we know about their cause – asbestos-caused cancer is a different thing than cervical cancer caused by a virus, is a different thing than a spontaneous brain tumor, and if we want to understand anything about how those things affect us, we ought to pay attention to the differences – especially totally avoidable ones like those caused by asbestos or smoking, for example.)
251,000 from medical errors
133,103 from stroke
You read that right – the third leading cause of death in this country is medical screw-ups. Doctors kill 222 times as many innocent Americans as police officers. And that’s not even among “all Americans” – because not “all Americans” even have access to medical care. [Note: and like police officers, this number is meaningless without the context of how many lives are saved. It doesn’t mean doctors are incompetent, any more than 500 deaths means law enforcement officers are murderous racists. It means there is something to examine, and that something is killing 200 times more people than the thing we are wound up about.]
33,804 people were killed in traffic accidents. Now, sometimes, stuff happens – black ice, tire blows out, things you just can’t predict. So let’s assume that 1 of every 10 traffic crashes is truly an accident. No – let’s be generous and assume that half of them are just unavoidable. That’s still 16,902 traffic deaths a year, or 15 times as many deaths as by police shooting, slightly more than by homicide, and 150 times more likely than being killed by a terrorist.
By the way, when officers enforce traffic laws (traffic enforcement has repeatedly been shown to reduce unsafe driving, reducing the number of traffic accidents), they make traffic stops, right? And traffic stops are the primary circumstance in which police officers are fatally shot (because felons who don’t want to go back to jail do still drive, and police don’t know who they are pulling over til they get to the window). Ironic, isn’t it?
After looking into all of this, I decided that:
– If Black Lives Matter (and I believe they do) then it’s time to quit throwing things at police officers, and turn my attention to housing, mental health, and creating safe environments (that means safe from homicide and safe from racism – it all goes together, really).
– I need to pay more attention to how our insurance and pharmaceutical companies manipulate the medical care I receive, and how the people who oversee medical malpractice respond to deaths from medical error and reports of inappropriate care by physicians (not just ‘how they handle someone’s one-time mistake’ but what their standards are overall for the people in whose hands our lives are placed. Do they allow someone with repeated reports of inappropriately touching patients to continue to practice? If someone has repeated DUIs do they put in place requirements for treatment or measures to ensure they are not drunk at work?)
– I want to support my 97.25% of law enforcement in rooting out the .75%, examining their departments and philosophies for things that might be creating inordinate impacts on people of color – and stepping up traffic enforcement (along with efforts to rescind licenses for repeat offenders, a process which exists in theory but seems to happen less often than it should. How many times have you read of a drunk driving death where the individual has 5, 6, 7 prior offenses?).
What I am not going to do is let my thinking be done by sensationalist headlines from profiteers who make money by getting me worked up, and politicians who benefit from getting me focused on symptoms rather than the actual, complex, expensive, long-term problems I should be holding them accountable for solving.
What will you do?
Update: A friend loaned me a copy of The New Jim Crow, and I am learning quite a bit about the evolution of the prison-industrial complex and its impact throughout our justice system. I am updating my understanding with every chapter – it’s well worth a read if you have the time.
Update: After finishing the book, I find most of it oriented toward “justice system” andvery compelling. It hasn’t materially changed my opinion on policing. I’m thrilled to see the conviction of Derek Chauvin, and we must continue to prosecute those who maliciously abuse the authority of the badge. But I don’t think that will create the change we need. it’s needed, nonetheless. I am still, however, as convinced as ever that in order to allow and demand good policing, we must address the matte systemically, fixing “policing” rather than “police departments” or “police officers.”
Something that did change, or at least expand for me during that reading time: I do believe that defunding – as it was originally conceived – is a viable and necessary path. Skip the sound-bite version. You can’t take money from police departments to meet other needs. You must meet other needs so that you can reduce what you spend on policing. Reinstate mental health services – and 1/3 of police calls will go away, allowing you to reduce headcount. Take away 1/3 of officers without addressing the mental health issue, and the problem just gets shifted elsewhere – just as it was shifted onto police when we defunded mental health care.
I’m left feeling that so much of what is wrong with policing is that we have abrogated multiple responsibilities as a society – and left police to clean up our neglect. Since they are there to ‘enforce’ and ‘protect’ rather than to nurture and support, they’re a terrible choice for the task – and we’re dissatisfied with how they manage it. but that’s on us, for minimizing and devaluing the people who manage it well – mental health providers, social services, education, addiction centers need to be well supported – and unit they are, the results of that neglect will continue to fall at the feet of people trained to do something else entirely – and when they do that thing that *is their purpose, we’ll be dissatisfied.
When a Derek Chauvin engaged in MISdeeds, we’ll be outraged – but if we spend all our time shouting about the folks who are flat-out breaking the rules – we are not spending our time fixing the rules themselves. Derek Chauvin and his 15% are a problem – but they aren’t the problem with policing. They would be lawless, entitled, harmful in any role. The folks who are following the rules, doing the policing precisely as we ask it be done – need a different set of rules, so that they can do the job in a way that meets our needs rather than reinforcing our history. Systemic, national-level reform, starting with clear reporting and national certification that keeps bad officers from just going next door to another department are a beginning.
Nice statistics, Nixie! I read about the real data behind police shootings in August and mentioned the statistics to a very left-leaning family member last month after he started going off about police shooting blacks and basically regurgitating the sensationalist journalism crap everyone has been fed. It left him speechless…which is rare when he’s fired up about something! Every time I hear a report of an officer shooting a person of color, my first questions are: How many shootings were there yesterday, total? What was the overall racial breakdown? What are we gaining from these headlines instead of working (i.e. researching and reporting) on the underlying problems?
Anyhow, thanks for pulling out the data and extrapolating for worst-case scenario. It really shines a light on the reality of the situation and real risks in life.
I’ll leave you with this: years ago, a physician came to speak to my PA class about preventative medicine. He made a list of the top causes of death, and then the point that even if we cure ALL heart disease, or cancer, or (insert other diagnosis here), there is something else on down that list that is going to kill you! Dying is a part of the human condition. So to extrapolate that to your “what is most likely to kill you” comments and data, the answer is: there is always something! Live well, be kind to others, and enjoy what sweetness there is in your life. None of us knows how long (or short) it will be.
And on that note, happy trails! 🙂
Running Mom – the #1 cause of death is “being alive.” Do that and you are absolutely certain to die. IMHO, that’s one reason it is so important to use your time well – including standing up for the important things, and not wasting time on the illusions. I am probably “left-leaning” too (since our politics has no room for centrists any more) – and I encourage you to toss this link to your relative – I’d love to hear his thoughts on the info above. 🙂
Indeed! I’m a middle-of-the-road kind of gal. I agree with some points from both sides, and similarly disagree with others. It’s a tricky place to sit! 🙂
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/dec/15/us-police-killings-department-of-justice-program
“A new US government program to count killings by police, which draws on data collected by the Guardian, has recorded a sharply higher number of deaths than previous official efforts.
Homicides by police were logged by the Department of Justice’s new system at more than twice the rate previously reported by the FBI, according to new data that was published by the department on Thursday…
The new “hybrid” system combines a review of open-source data, including the Guardian’s series The Counted, with a survey of local authorities. It recorded 270 homicides by officers in three months last year. The FBI said earlier this year that it had counted just 442 in all of 2015.
Duren Banks, the program’s lead statistician, said the trial had been “a success” compared to a previous incarnation, which was estimated to be catching only half of all arrest-related deaths …
Reforms to data collection were announced last year after James Comey, the FBI director, said it was “unacceptable” that The Counted and a similar project by the Washington Post held better data on the issue than his own officials, a situation he said was “embarrassing and ridiculous”.
…If the rate of homicides recorded by the justice department was consistent, a total of 1,080 would have been logged for all of 2015. The Guardian’s count, which uses slightly different criteria, ended at 1,146 last year. So far in 2016, it has recorded 1,025 deaths.
The report released by the BJS on Thursday did not include demographic information on the decedents, but Banks said the bureau expects to release aggregate racial and other demographic information in a future report.”
It’s hard to separate feelings from facts, interpretations from interpolations.
Along with you I also dismiss “black-on-black” crime because it’s as prevalent as “white-on-white” crime. Most crime is unplanned, opportunistic, and occurs in context with one’s own community. Racial segregation means that most crime is going to be with someone who looks like you. My own town has had a few murders/homicides over the years since we’ve lived here. One was mass killing of two or three members of the same family by the father who then tried to kill himself. One was a guy with an apocalyptic view of society who killed his wife in town, then went to the cave he dug out in the side of the mountain and ended up killing himself. One was a guy who killed a home intruder. One was a domestic dispute in a local motel. Every single one of them was white-on-white crime. 100% rate, but no one that I know of sees this as a sign of moral decay in white people or a tendency to criminality. A local business went bankrupt when the white accountant stole money (I think in the seven figures) from the white owner. We have shoplifters and homeless people camping out in the woods, and I cannot recall a single instance of any of them being a non-white person.
I don’t think the worst case scenarios hold true, but I don’t think there’s grounds to believe in the rosiest scenario. Somewhere in there are unjustified homicides or the use of force, and unless there is some set of data I don’t know about, such actions are not adjudicated at the same rate as the same actions done by citizenry.
There’s something going on when a population that comprises 13% of our nation is appearing as 25% in the statistics.
“Black Lives Matter” is hard to define as anyone can take that label and misuse it. I think your quote from the website is a hard one to process–but I’d like to see the quote, and of course I can do that work myself!
I did look up one of the three original founders of Black Lives Matter – Patrisse Khan-Cullors – and this is what she has to say about her intent:
This doesn’t mean, of course, that what appears on the website is going to somehow match this–these were the aspirational principles.
I do note that it is specifically designed to be a place for black women, even though many times the three founders are erased in media perception, and turn it into a movement generated and led by black men. (“Ensuring that the Black Lives Matter network is a Black women–affirming space free from sexism, misogyny, and male-centeredness”)
Anyway, I think there is much more room to grow in my understanding of the issues. I’ve only just recently decided to dig deeper.
Black Lives Matter has changed their web site – you may need to get an early copy from the internet archive to find that wording. JMHO, but I think they have been appropriated and misappropriated til it is very difficult for people to see the *actual through the chaff. Which is, oddly, where this post started – just in relation to policing.
There are definitely inappropriate uses of force, and departments that are sick through and through. There are questionable cases where departments decide in favor of their own viewpoint (this is why oversight boards and third-party investigations are so important. At least in our state, most departments have an in-place agreement with the state or another department, so that the moment an officer fires their weapon, a different department steps in to handle the scene and investigation). There are also cases where the individual officer is doing exactly what they are trained and instructed to do and someone looking at part of the story from a citizen’s point of view feels it was the wrong thing.. For those who feel that the scenario was morally wrong – it can be impossible to understand that it was procedurally correct. That comes back to the “policing we demand” question. But all of these are represented as intentional malice, making it impossible to sort them.
I agree that the worst-case scenario is too dire – I chose to go the extremes because I wanted to understand what the worst possible truth might be. But even with those numbers – 1% of officers, 3% of departments and 90% of coverage creates a skewed vision that promulgates hate and division, and makes it harder for everyone. It creates added terror for citizens and puts them in additional fear of authorities. It further isolates and separates law enforcement from their communities – as a body and as human beings “under siege”. it creates an environment where good people don’t want to go into the profession – risking that departments, desperate to fill positions, will lower standards and make the problem worse through poor hiring and retention.
We have real problems with race equity in this country. they are broad, systemic, and complex – which is boring and hard to solve. The easy route – of picking a visible target and pouring all the ire at them – doesn’t move us forward. Ferguson is a great example: the officer did what officers nationwide are taught to do. The department created an environment where the circumstances for that action were artificially and too-frequently created, in my opinion (and based on my limited knowledge of their longer-term history). The city, county, and court system created the circumstances and expectations from which the department operated. The ire fell on the officer. Meanwhile, the complex problem dropped off the radar. Bloodthirst was avenged – the officer lost his job and career, and had to move his family for their safety. But the actual issues that created that situation got blown off and surely still occur. I don’t know if I have examined the right things in the right way – I just believe we really have to get past the sound-bite satisfaction and move toward real examination in order to move forward.